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Summer 2020 Economic Forecast: A deeper recession with wider divergences

07/07/2020 | Economy | 

Source: European Commission Spokesperson's Service  

 


The EU economy will experience a deep recession this year due to the coronavirus pandemic, despite the swift and comprehensive policy response at both EU and national levels. Because the lifting of lockdown measures is proceeding at a more gradual pace than assumed in our Spring Forecast, the impact on economic activity in 2020 will be more significant than anticipated.

The Summer 2020 Economic Forecast projects that the euro area economy will contract by 8.7% in 2020 and grow by 6.1% in 2021. The EU economy is forecast to contract by 8.3% in 2020 and grow by 5.8% in 2021. The contraction in 2020 is, therefore, projected to be significantly greater than the 7.7% projected for the euro area and 7.4% for the EU as a whole in the Spring Forecast. Growth in 2021 will also be slightly less robust than projected in the spring.

 You can watch the press conference with Commissioner Gentiloni live via EbS.

 The full press release is available in all languages here.

The Summer 2020 Economic Forecast is available here.

 


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